A public deck cannot show why a particular investor said no, and neither can this research. Investors decide for many reasons. What it can do is help you choose where to look first.
Which sounds closest to what you heard?
GTM Right's suggestion · They questioned how I explained it
Look at your pitch first. Take your biggest number and check that someone reading it cold would know what it measures. Then ask whether each slide says only what you can show.
GTM Right's suggestion · They wanted more proof from customers
Look at your commercial evidence first. List what customers have actually done: paid, come back or responded to an approach you tried. The three findings separate those, so you can see which you have least of.
Let the six questions show you. Answer them for your own business and notice where you get stuck. Struggling to explain something you have points to the pitch. Having nothing to point to points to the evidence.
explicitly labelled a figure as the company's own revenue.
The Business
The claim is commercial progress. 63 of 113 put forward a money figure or a customer signal to show it.
The Market
A figure a company labels as its own revenue is the clearest sign on a slide that customers paid it. Of the 37 decks that showed a monetary figure, 20 labelled it that way. The other 17 were borderline or measured something else.
The Investor
A funding audience can see what each figure is called and whether the company says it earned it. What came in beyond the slide remains a fair question, and a missing figure shows what the public deck left out, not what the company lacked.
So what?
A number only helps you once you know what it measures. Revenue, money passing through a platform, a signed contract and a forecast each say something different about your business, and each points to a different next step.
Next step
Take your biggest number and write one sentence on what it measures and how much of it the business kept. If that sentence is hard to write, you have found what to look into first.
What the 37 money figures measured+
Population: The 37 decks within the 113 that showed a monetary figure.
Explicitly labelled company revenue20 of 37
Realised company income and its period
Borderline own-revenue classifications4 of 37
Profit, revenue ceiling or range, or unlabelled amount requires clarification
Transaction or gross merchandise value8 of 37
Total value flowing through a marketplace versus revenue kept
Contract or pilot value2 of 37
Signed or proposed value versus income actually recognised
Annualised or projected run rate1 of 37
Extrapolation versus measured full-period revenue
Unclear money measure2 of 37
Unit, scope and economic meaning not adequately defined
Gross profit needs the same care. A margin helps a reader ask how much value could reach the company, but it does not state what was earned.
The claim is that customers stay. 20 of 113 raised retention, repeat use or lifetime value.
The Market
An observed rate is the buyers' own answer: they came back or they did not. 9 of those 20 decks gave one. The other 11 gave a lifetime-value estimate or mentioned retention without a usable figure.
The Investor
A stated rate gives a funding audience something to examine: which customers were counted, when they joined and how long they were observed. A slide cannot show whether the other decks had returning customers they did not publish.
So what?
Winning a first customer and keeping one answer different questions. Knowing people will buy once is real progress. Finding out whether they come back tells you whether the demand lasts.
Next step
Pick your earliest customers and write down what each one did after the first purchase. If none has yet had the chance to come back, note when they will.
Two different commercial questions+
First-customer activity asks
Will someone try this, or buy it, at all?
Repeat behaviour asks
Do they come back, renew, expand or buy again without unusual incentives?
Population: The 20 decks within the 113 that mentioned retention, repeat use or lifetime value.
presented a concrete acquisition route, with a mechanism or a number.
The Business
The claim is that the next buyers can be reached. 27 of 113 described some route to future customers.
The Market
Buyers show a route works by responding to it, which a slide can only describe. 15 of those 27 decks gave a mechanism or a number that could be tested. The other 12 named something relevant without enough detail to show how the next sale would happen.
The Investor
A funding audience can see the intended route and tell a named channel from a described mechanism. Whether the route went on to work, or whether other decks had plans they did not publish, remains a fair question.
So what?
Partnerships, paid media and referrals are channels. A channel becomes useful evidence when you can say who the buyer is, what makes them respond and what happens next.
Next step
Complete this sentence: this buyer, reached this way, responds to this, and then does this. Whatever you cannot fill in is what to find out first.
A channel is not yet a mechanism+
Naming a channel
Partnerships, paid media, community, referrals, outbound sales or a distributor network.
Describing a mechanism
A defined customer and trigger, a way to reach them, a tested conversion step, a measured sales cycle or a pipeline with clear stages.
A testable shape: people in this situation can be reached through this route, will respond to this proposition, and will take this observable commercial action.
Choose a customer group, a period and a definition of returning.
What an investor can reasonably understandOne defined group, followed over a stated period, is easier to understand than a general claim that customers stay.
Next useful commercial testLook for a second purchase, renewal or expanded engagement in that group.
Homigo's public demo-day deck put this on its second slide:
“$780 K GMV Run Rate”
Before you read on, what do you think that figure measures?
Transaction value is not necessarily income.
GMV is gross merchandise value: the total value of transactions on a platform.
Business claim
$780 K GMV Run Rate, on the deck's second slide.
Market response
The public deck reported a $780,000 run rate in transaction value. That signals activity on the platform. A rental or marketplace platform may facilitate a large volume of payments while retaining only a relatively small portion.
What an investor can reasonably understand
An investor can see reported transaction activity at a yearly pace. The slide does not say how much of that value was the company's income.What was transacted, over what period, what fees did the business retain, and what did it cost to generate and serve those transactions?
Next useful commercial test
If this were your claim, take one recent month and put the value transacted beside the fees you kept and the cost of serving those customers. Then you can say what customers demonstrated, and what they paid you.
The point is not to make your number smaller. It is to make its meaning clearer, and to know which business question it can answer.
03 / Bring it back to your business
What would it take to turn your strongest pitch claim into something customers have actually demonstrated?
These six questions will help you work that out for your own business. You don't need every answer. Naming what you don't know yet is progress.
Your working notes.Kept only in this open page. Nothing is sent or saved, and your notes are lost if you refresh or leave.
Question 1 of 6
Who has demonstrated the problem?
Can we point to specific buyers or users who independently described a costly, frequent or urgent problem? How were they selected? What would contradict our hypothesis?
Need a starting point? An illustrative teaching exercise
Fictional example, not a research finding. “A pilot customer said the product saved their team time. We have not yet observed a second purchase. Our next test is to offer a paid follow-on engagement and record the response.” This separates an observation, an uncertainty and a test.
Your next test
What is still unproven, and what is the smallest useful next test?
Nothing written yet. Your next test builds on the earlier questions. The first one still blank is Question 1.
Your other answers
Who has demonstrated the problem?
Not yet explored. You can leave this open.
What customer action has actually occurred?
Not yet explored. You can leave this open.
What money did the company earn?
Not yet explored. You can leave this open.
Do customers repeat the action?
Not yet explored. You can leave this open.
Can we describe how to reach the next buyer?
Not yet explored. You can leave this open.
The full research
Stay with the question. Follow it to the evidence.
Every finding, figure, company example and source, for when you want the whole story.
Perhaps an investor has just said no and you are wondering what to do next. Perhaps you have built something you are convinced could change the world. Either way, you are carrying a set of claims about your business, and some of them matter far more than others.
A deck can make the problem vivid, the market enormous and the team credible. It can show a growing user count, a row of company logos, a striking revenue-adjacent number, or a chart that rises neatly from left to right. Each may be useful evidence. None, on its own, tells you what the market has actually done.
That is why other founders' decks are worth your time. A seed deck is a set of choices: what a founder shows tells you which claims they wanted outsiders to see, and you can read your own deck the same way. If a deck names a large market but gives no buyer-level evidence, the reader is left to bridge the gap. If it shows $1 million of transactions without stating revenue retained, the reader must infer the company's economic share. If it mentions retention without a cohort or repeat rate, it is unclear whether customers have demonstrably returned.
The line that matters most is rarely between a strong pitch and a weak one. It is between a persuasive claim and what customers have actually demonstrated.
We read 113 early-stage decks from a public library of fundraising presentations and 88 that founders had posted themselves, a separate group that does not begin with companies described as having raised. A small number of hand-picked decks fill in what broad counts cannot explain. We asked commercial questions, not design ones: What evidence of real buyers, users and payments is visible? Does a figure mean company revenue or something else? Is there evidence of repeat behaviour? How does the company propose to reach its next customers? What does the deck say about the proposed use of funding? How confidently can a reader distinguish achieved results from forecasts?
None of this means an early company needs every answer before it starts. A founder at concept stage may reasonably have problem interviews, a pilot commitment and a hypothesis about pricing rather than live revenue. Being early is not the problem. Treating an untested proposition as settled is.
Before you read on, pick the slide you are proudest of and ask what a stranger would have to assume to believe it.
What we found, and why it matters to your business
Every count here describes what a public copy of a deck disclosed, which is rarely everything a team knew. Unless another group is named, the findings describe the decks in Figure 1.
Figure 1
What decks signal, and what they measure
Population: 113 analysable early-stage decks from a public deck library. Public copies only.
Broader signalStricter evidence
Money and revenue
Showed a money figure or a customer signal (levels A or B)63 of 113 (56%)
Explicitly labelled a figure as the company's own revenue20 of 113 (18%)
Repeat behaviour
Mentioned retention, repeat use or lifetime value20 of 113 (18%)
Gave an observed retention or repeat rate9 of 113 (8%)
The next customers
Described some route to future customers27 of 113 (24%)
Presented a concrete route, with a mechanism or a number15 of 113 (13%)
Each stricter count sits inside the broader count above it.
Money and customer signals were common, but interpretable revenue was not. Reaching one of the two highest evidence categories took either a stated monetary figure or some customer or revenue signal, which does not mean a deck demonstrated paying customers. Beyond the decks that labelled a figure as their own revenue, four more amounts were ambiguous.
The big number was not always money earned. Thirty-seven decks showed a monetary figure. Of these, 13 primarily presented other or unclear measures, such as transaction value, contract or pilot value, annualised sales, or an inadequately labelled amount, and another four were borderline revenue claims. The label, unit, period and economic meaning matter.
Customer presence was often easier to see than customer value. Twenty-six of 113 (23%) presented customer or revenue-related signals without a usable figure. Logos, unnamed customer counts, upward-moving but unnumbered charts and redacted public slides can all communicate traction while leaving a reader unable to evaluate its scale.
Repeat behaviour and acquisition economics were thinly documented. Fewer than half of the decks that mentioned repeat behaviour gave an observed rate, and just over half of those that described a route to future customers made it concrete.
Pitch format and disclosure moved together. Thirty of 63 demo-day decks (48%) showed a monetary figure, compared with seven of 50 other investor decks (14%). Those populations also differ in year, selection and public-redaction patterns, so read this as a pattern in disclosure rather than the effect of a template.
A separate founder-posted sample shows what decks outside a funding library disclosed. In 40 of its 88 decks, the public copy showed no customer evidence.
The clearest founder lesson is to connect the evidence. A customer logo should connect to the relationship it represents. A financial figure should connect to the revenue actually retained. A growth chart should connect to a period and denominator. A go-to-market plan should connect to a specific reachable buyer and an observable next test.
This report rests on 201 decks in two separately analysed groups, 113 funded-library decks and 88 founder-posted decks, whose results are never pooled into one rate. Both sit inside a wider evidence register of 256 entries representing 255 distinct ventures, because Dimension and Trash Warrior are two listings for the same venture. The register is an inventory rather than one sample: it includes records left out of the headline analysis, pilot material and deliberately selected examples. Appendix A sets out how each group was drawn and what was excluded.
Figure 2
Which group each number comes from
Research inventory
256register entries
121 funded-library entries
125 founder-posted entries
10 selected historical cases
255 distinct ventures: Dimension and Trash Warrior are one company
An inventory. Never one analysed cohort.
Funded-library analysis
113analysable decks
121 drawn from 726 year-eligible early-stage listings
3 could not be read and were not replaced
5 were not investor pitches
The population for every deck-content finding.
Founder-posted test
88analysable decks
125 drawn from 412 decks dated 2012 to 2019
30 were pilot decks, kept apart
7 of the 95 test decks were not eligible investor decks
Reported on its own in Section 8.
Selected cases
10historical decks
Chosen on purpose to illustrate a question
Not a random sample
Examples only. Never a denominator.
The two analysed samples come from different sources and are never pooled.
1.1 The funded-library analysis: 113 decks
The first group came from a public pitch-deck library. The library labels these presentations as associated with fundraising. That label does not confirm that any particular round closed or that the public deck was exactly what investors saw. Within the 113, 63 were accelerator demo-day presentations and 50 were other investor decks, published at different times and in different ways.
The second group came from a separate collection of seed and pre-seed presentations that founders had made public themselves. It looks different: it includes small, local, student and one-person ventures, not only companies that appeared in a funding library. If you are early and self-funded, these decks may look more like yours.
1.3 Deliberately selected case presentations
A smaller set of historical decks was read as illustrations, chosen on purpose to show particular issues: the difference between user counts and revenue, acquisition costs beside sales, retention, the meaning of soft commitments and what a fundraising story can and cannot settle. None of them enters a percentage in this report.
1.4 What the evidence levels mean
Each deck was assigned the highest level of evidence visible in its public copy. These levels describe the kind of evidence disclosed, not a grade of venture quality or a probability of investment success.
Level
What appears in the public deck
What cannot automatically be assumed
A
A stated monetary figure, including revenue or another amount
That the figure is the company's earned revenue
B
A customer or revenue signal without a usable monetary figure
That the customer pays, or that a logo represents a contracted relationship
C
Users, downloads, usage or engagement, without customer/revenue evidence
That engagement converts into payment or repeat demand
D
Pilots, waitlists, planned trials, pipeline or other commitments
That a commitment has become paid use
E
No customer evidence in the public deck
That the team had no evidence outside the published slides
A genuine early-stage experiment at level D can mean a great deal. A large level-A transaction figure can reveal less than a small but clearly labelled recurring-revenue number. Find where your own strongest evidence sits, and you know what the next level up would take.
What 113 funded-library decks showed about their customers
2.1 The evidence distribution
Figure 3
The highest level of evidence visible in each public deck
Population: 113 analysable early-stage decks from a public deck library.
A: stated monetary figure37 of 113 (33%)
B: customer or revenue signal, no usable figure26 of 113 (23%)
C: usage only23 of 113 (20%)
D: commitments only9 of 113 (8%)
E: no customer evidence disclosed18 of 113 (16%)
Levels are defined in Section 1.4.
There are two ways to read this chart. First, 63 of the 113 decks (56%) showed something at level A or B: a monetary or customer-related signal. Second, 50 (44%) did not reach either of those two categories in their public presentation.
The 63 are not all proof of paying customers: level A may contain marketplace transaction values or other money-like measures, and level B may contain customer logos without a payment statement.
The market question is more exact: What relationship between the company and a real customer does the slide actually establish? A usage chart establishes that something happened in the product. A named paying customer and the amount paid establish something different.
2.2 “We have customers” can mean several things
A deck might show the names of companies, a count of registered organisations, interviews with prospective buyers, a pilot arrangement or actual payment. These signals are not equivalent. A logo could reflect a customer, a design partner, a past employer, an integration or a prospect; without a legend, a reader cannot know.
In the public deck for Blurbiz, client logos and a price list appear on separate slides (slides 2 and 6). The deck does not itself connect the logos to an identifiable billed amount. In Waterplan, a claim that ten Fortune 500 companies used the product (slide 4) does not by itself state what they paid or identify the relationship. LoanWell presents an annual price range and 13 customer logos (slides 11 and 12); the logos alone do not show 13 paying customers.
The issue is not dishonesty. These are different ways of indicating progress. The gap is between showing that a relationship may exist and demonstrating its commercial value, and that gap is where an investor's first reasonable question sits.
Storyboard presents a rising chart of paid seats but lacks the numerical scale needed to calculate what the movement represents (slide 5). A graph without values can show direction while concealing magnitude. VideoPeel is a reminder of another limitation: its public copy replaces a monthly recurring-revenue number with a placeholder (slide 14). A redacted public deck does not show what investors may have seen privately.
A large money figure is not necessarily company revenue
Of the 37 level-A decks containing a monetary figure, 20 explicitly labelled it as the company's own revenue. Four others are borderline: Connected2me labels a figure as profit, Pepper Bio shows a range or ceiling rather than an achieved revenue result, and Catnip and Voxeet show amounts whose measure is not clear from the slides. Thirteen more represent other or unclear measures.
Figure 4
What the 37 money figures actually measure
Population: the 37 level-A decks within the 113 that showed a monetary figure.
Explicitly labelled company revenue20 of 37
Realised company income and its period
Borderline own-revenue classifications4 of 37
Profit, revenue ceiling or range, or unlabelled amount requires clarification
Transaction or gross merchandise value8 of 37
Total value flowing through a marketplace versus revenue kept
Contract or pilot value2 of 37
Signed or proposed value versus income actually recognised
Annualised or projected run rate1 of 37
Extrapolation versus measured full-period revenue
Unclear money measure2 of 37
Unit, scope and economic meaning not adequately defined
Counted against all 113 decks, explicitly labelled own revenue is 20 of 113 (18%). Adding the four borderline figures gives a ceiling of 24 of 113 (21%), which is not the same evidence standard.
“37 decks showed revenue” would therefore be a misleading headline.
3.1 Transaction volume versus money retained
Homigo presented a reported $780,000 run rate in transaction value (slide 2). The deck charts continue to January 2017 despite an earlier library-assigned year. A rental or marketplace platform may facilitate a large volume of payments while retaining only a relatively small portion, so transaction value is not necessarily Homigo's income.
By contrast, the iGrow deck places a 20% gross-profit claim beside $1.2 million of transaction value (slide 8). That additional ratio helps a reader ask how much economic benefit could accrue to the company. That makes it more interpretable than transaction value alone.
If you run a marketplace, four questions sit behind a transaction-volume headline: What was transacted? Over what period? What fees did the business retain? What costs were incurred to generate and serve those transactions? You can pull all four answers from your own records.
3.2 Contracts, pilots and annualised numbers
Butlr reported $1.07 million of total contract value signed (slide 4). A signed contract is evidence of a commercial relationship, but total contract value is not automatically equivalent to cash collected or revenue earned in the period. Tallyfy described $600,000 in pilots (slide 3), while the public slide as recorded did not resolve whether this was contracted, billed or prospective value.
Shippo used a $1 million run-rate figure adjacent to a chart with much smaller axis values (slide 3). An annualised run rate can be a meaningful operating indicator, but the underlying time interval, actual recorded revenue and method of extrapolation need to be stated. For an early business, the difference between one strong month and a recurring twelve-month pattern is substantial.
Bill Trim charted “gross revenue” without clearly demonstrating the amount the company kept from a service that generated savings for customers (slide 7). A label can be technically plausible yet insufficient to establish how the commercial model works.
The principle for your own deck: name the measure before using it as proof. “Our customers processed £500,000 through the platform” communicates something different from “we earned £50,000 of revenue,” and both differ from “we have signed agreements worth £500,000 over two years.”
3.3 What clearer financial evidence looks like
The recorded Infraspeak presentation puts revenue, monthly recurring revenue and churn together on slide 11. That makes the commercial argument easier to examine: there is money, a recurring component and an indication of customer loss.
We also encountered a library-produced redrawn summary of mcSquares that places order value, acquisition cost, margin and lifetime value together. Because we did not read the original founder presentation behind that summary, we treat it as an example of a presentation format rather than primary evidence of the company's financial performance.
Mero Technologies presented growth in recurring revenue alongside buildings and distributor counts (slide 12). The strength of the presentation is the connection between an economic outcome and the operational mechanism behind it, rather than a revenue headline floating on its own.
Winning an initial customer is one test. Discovering whether that customer returns, renews, expands or continues to gain enough value to pay is another. A startup that has demonstrated willingness to buy once may still have an unresolved question about durable demand.
In the 113-deck analysis, 20 decks (18%) mentioned retention, repeat use or lifetime value, but only nine (8%) provided an observed retention or repeat rate. Six more supplied lifetime-value estimates; five mentioned retention without a usable figure. These categories should not be collapsed into “20 decks proved retention.”
A retention percentage is not automatically enough. It matters which customers were counted, when they joined, what constitutes staying, how long they were observed and whether the measure concerns users, accounts, revenue or another unit. A lifetime-value estimate can also be useful but depends on assumptions about future behaviour and margins.
Homigo stated a 24-month customer lifetime value while the visible historical chart covered substantially less time (slide 3). Such a figure may be a modelled estimate rather than 24 months of observed retention.
You do not need a retention slide before you have the operating history for one. You need a next experiment that makes repeat behaviour measurable. A services founder may look for a second purchase or expanded engagement. A subscription founder may track cohort renewals. A marketplace may examine whether both sides complete another transaction without extraordinary incentives.
For a pre-revenue team, the honest statement may be that retention is not yet measurable. That is more useful than projecting a confident lifetime value from a few weeks of data: it says what you know now, and how you plan to find out the rest.
A pitch often includes familiar acquisition vocabulary: partnerships, paid media, community, referrals, outbound sales or a distributor network. These are channels. They are not necessarily a tested mechanism for reaching a specific buyer at an acceptable cost.
The analysis found 27/113 decks (24%) with some description of a route to the next customers, but only 15/113 (13%) with a concrete route under the stricter definition. The additional twelve named something relevant without enough mechanism or quantity to establish how the next sale would likely happen.
A concrete route can take different forms: a defined customer type and trigger, an identifiable way to reach them, a tested conversion process, a measured sales cycle, a known distributor or a credible pipeline with clear stages. It need not be a sophisticated growth model. It needs to be specific enough that a founder could test it.
ProcureNow showed an average sales cycle of about three months next to its pipeline (slides 8 and 9). That connects a proposed sales route to a time requirement. Laoshi described tutor acquisition cost and the students a tutor brought onto the platform (slide 14), drawing attention to a mechanism of distribution rather than a generic channel label.
For a B2C founder, this often becomes an access problem before it becomes a marketing-budget problem. Which group of people experiences the problem frequently? What event makes them look for a solution? Where can they be reached now? What evidence would show that the initial acquisition method can work repeatedly? A market-size slide rarely answers those questions.
A useful next-customer statement therefore has a testable shape: We believe people in this situation can be reached through this route, will respond to this proposition, and will take this observable commercial action. The next experiment tests the weakest link in that sentence.
A big market and a strong team are not yet a market response
Team slides were present in 99 of the 113 decks (88%), and market-size claims in 83 of the 113 (73%). Among the 83 decks that sized the market, 61 used a top-down total without a demonstrated path from the large category to a reachable first segment.
Sizing the market still matters. A company needs to know whether a commercial opportunity could become large. It just cannot stand in for proof that customers will recognise the problem, choose the offer and pay.
A familiar example is the jump from “there are millions of potential users” to “we will capture one percent.” The first figure describes a possible population; the second is a forecast about winning customers. Without a reason for selecting those buyers, an access route and evidence of willingness to engage, the conversion between the two is not established.
Team experience also matters, particularly where the company is pre-product. Kamino described founders with technology and fintech experience, including one documented earlier exit, while the product was still to be built (slides 2 and 5). The deck demonstrates how a team can present expertise before presenting customer results, not that expertise removes the need for later market learning.
Revolut provides another instructive early-stage example. Its 2015 public deck described 4,800 sign-ups accumulated in one month and nine deals, including one with MasterCard (slides 9 and 10), in the context of a £1.5 million funding request. Those are forms of pre-launch interest and partnership development, not a demonstration of already recurring customer revenue. They help explain why early teams can reasonably present evidence appropriate to their stage.
The lesson for any founder: use the strongest evidence that exists, and let customers, rather than somebody else's credibility or fundraising context, show that the demand is there.
Demo-day decks and other investor decks differed markedly in which evidence level appeared on the public slides.
Figure 5
Evidence level by pitch format
Populations: 63 demo-day decks and 50 other investor decks, together the 113 funded-library decks.
Demo-dayOther investor
A: monetary figure
Demo-day30 of 63 (48%)
Other investor7 of 50 (14%)
B: customer signal, no usable figure
Demo-day10 of 63 (16%)
Other investor16 of 50 (32%)
C: usage only
Demo-day15 of 63 (24%)
Other investor8 of 50 (16%)
D: commitments only
Demo-day4 of 63 (6%)
Other investor5 of 50 (10%)
E: no customer evidence disclosed
Demo-day4 of 63 (6%)
Other investor14 of 50 (28%)
Format and disclosure moved together in this sample; age, selection, industry and redaction also differ between the two groups.
A structured demo-day presentation tends to require a traction moment. A general investor presentation may devote more space to the team, market and narrative while leaving detailed evidence for a later conversation. The pattern fits that difference, though format is only one of several things that vary between these decks.
Public versions can also be edited. Six decks had figures or material explicitly removed from the public version, and counting one more company whose revenue was explicitly withheld makes seven.
Copying an accelerator template is not the lesson. A format that forces clarity about traction brings a critical question forward, and you can ask it of your own deck today: What can we point to, in numbers or in words, that is happening in the market?
The second set of decks offers a different perspective. Forty of its 88 decks showed no customer evidence in the public copy. That describes the deck rather than the business behind it: a founder may have had customers the public slides never mentioned.
The research also examined publicly available information about what happened to the ventures afterward. These records were incomplete and do not support a sufficiently reliable comparison of subsequent company outcomes. We therefore draw no survival conclusion from this analysis.
A missing record can mean many things. Some ventures were too small to leave a searchable footprint. Some could have changed names, become parts of other businesses, or continued privately.
If your own deck shows no customer evidence yet, you are far from alone, and the next question is a practical one: What small piece of direct customer evidence could move my business from an attractive proposition towards a commercial fact? That could be a paid pilot, a repeat order, a signed trial that starts on a date, a response from a precisely defined buyer group, or a measured acquisition journey.
We chose these decks because each exposes a commercial question clearly enough that you may recognise it in your own business. They are illustrations: they cannot establish a survival or fundraising rate. We stay with what the slides show and do not infer a company's later outcome from its deck.
9.1 Flowtab: sales activity is not the same as captured revenue
The recorded Flowtab traction slide reports seven bars, 2,200 users, approximately 120 orders a week, $12,450 of total sales across three months, and a cost of $1,500–$2,500 to win each bar (slide 7).
That combination invites a valuable question. If “total sales” means drink sales going through the product rather than revenue retained by Flowtab, what amount did the company actually earn? How many transactions repeated, and what did it cost to keep each venue active? The slide does not provide enough information to conclude whether acquisition costs were recovered, whether the model could sustain itself or what happened later to the company.
The next useful commercial test for a business like this is to put acquisition cost, revenue retained by the company, the period and repeat behaviour in one view. A large volume of activity may validate interest. It does not automatically settle the economics.
9.2 Manpacks: even an impressive retention label needs a denominator
The public Manpacks deck describes more than 1,800 paid subscribers, 10% monthly growth, a funnel and a measure labelled “65% Q1–Q4 retention” (slides 10 and 12). This is stronger customer-related disclosure than a deck that merely says people love the product. Yet an investor would still reasonably ask exactly what was retained, which cohorts were measured and how the figure was calculated.
Any founder quoting a rate like this should put the cohort and the calculation beside it.
9.3 Bliss.ai: reported paid customers do not explain every commercial unknown
The public Bliss.ai deck reports 70 paying customers, an $84,000 annualised revenue run rate, a margin claim and named enterprise relationships (slides 6 and 8). They show more than a sign-up count, and they leave useful questions open about customer lifetime, repeat purchasing, acquisition economics and how the company captured value.
9.4 Castle: unit counts, price and the missing bridge
Castle showed rental units under management rising from four to 49 since a soft launch on 1 January and stated a price of $79 per unit per month (slides 7 and 8). Those two pieces of information can help a reader understand the possible economics of a property-management offer. The next questions are whether every unit paid the stated fee, whether revenue was collected and whether retention was strong.
The test here is to link the growth of units to realised billing, servicing cost and retention.
9.5 Standard Treasury: the funding ask and the use-of-funds budget are different
Standard Treasury requested $10 million towards UK banking authorisation on slide 13, while the 24-month budget shown on slide 14 was approximately $9 million. The request and the spending plan serve different purposes. Neither should be silently substituted for the other.
Slide 25 contains startup logos and references to soft commitments; the logos do not establish five separately confirmed binding commitments. That is a useful distinction for any founder presenting prospective demand, design partners or letters of interest. A commitment can be important evidence, but the document must say what has actually been promised, by whom and under which conditions.
9.6 Everpix and Moz: reporting an indicator is not answering every business question
The Everpix deck reported 40,000 users and a claim that 13.1% of sign-ups paid, but did not provide a company revenue figure in the cited slides (21 and 25). The Moz deck presented a $10.8 million revenue run rate, a subscriber count and several unit-economic measures (slides 20 and 21). These are strikingly different kinds of deck evidence.
What matters is the evidence question each raises: how do paying share, actual revenue, cost to acquire, renewal and gross margin combine into a model that can be understood and tested?
What an investor can reasonably understand from a deck
These decks are not a recipe for fundraising. Nothing here shows that including a slide, quoting a metric or avoiding a phrase makes investors say yes, and a public deck is only one piece of a wider decision.
What a funding audience can reasonably take from a deck is which links in the commercial chain are established and which are still open. A compelling pitch about a large market raises the next question: can these buyers be reached? A transaction-volume chart asks how much the company captured. A pilot logo asks whether there is a contract. An optimistic lifetime value asks what a real cohort has done. A list of marketing channels asks how the next sale happens.
Investors sometimes finance potential. Founders build evidence. The two are related, and this report is about the second. A strong story can explain why a market matters and why a team might win. Investor interest cannot show whether customers recognise the problem, can be reached, act on the proposition, pay and return, and a founder goes on learning that from the market after any funding conversation, whichever way it went.
That matters more now that building and presenting software can be faster than learning whether a customer genuinely wants it. A founder can produce a credible product demonstration long before discovering whether the buyer feels the problem strongly, has the authority to purchase or will exchange money for the solution. How fast you can make something is not the evidence you need to choose your next step.
Six commercial questions a founder can use immediately
Together these six are the practical core of this research.
Work through all six in the exercise above, with room for your own notes. Continuous reading sets them out here in full.
1Who has demonstrated the problem?
Can we point to specific buyers or users who independently described a costly, frequent or urgent problem? How were they selected? What would contradict our hypothesis?
2What customer action has actually occurred?
Was there an interview, waitlist sign-up, pilot agreement, activation, repeat use, payment or renewal? Each action has a different meaning. Which one do we currently have?
3What money did the company earn?
If we use a financial figure, is it revenue recognised by our company, money passing through the platform, contract value, gross profit, forecast or an annualised run rate? What is the time period, currency and source?
4Do customers repeat the action?
Are they coming back, renewing, expanding or buying again? If we are too early to measure that, what experiment would create the first observable repeat signal?
5Can we describe how to reach the next buyer?
What is the customer's trigger, where can we access them, what message earns a response and what is the next commercial action? Can we test this with a modest number of reachable buyers?
6What is still unproven, and what is the smallest useful next test?
Rather than filling a missing slide with assumptions, identify the single uncertainty most likely to change the decision to build, sell, spend or raise.
None of this is a reason to hesitate. You can have a real business in progress without knowing the full economics.
Your deck may have a communication problem, an evidence problem or both. The right next step depends on which.
The route has four steps. It is a discipline rather than a mandatory sequence, and it works at any stage:
Business claim: What you believe, have built, claim and propose about the buyer, problem, offer or market.
Market response: What somebody outside the founding team actually said, did, signed, paid or repeated.
What an investor can reasonably understand: What those two establish for a funding audience, and the most important question they leave open.
Next useful commercial test: The smallest ethical, affordable action that could strengthen or change the decision.
What to test next depends on what you have already demonstrated:
Reliable revenue and retention data, labelled poorly: communicate the existing evidence accurately.
A valuable problem, but no direct buyer observations: the next task is not a better slide. It is an encounter with actual potential customers.
Enthusiastic interviewees but no purchase: test willingness to commit.
Pilots but no renewal or repeat behaviour: test repeated value, by looking at retention, value delivered and the conditions of a second purchase.
Customer evidence but no path to more customers: test access and acquisition economics.
Paid customers but unknown acquisition cost: the commercial unknown is no longer whether people will pay at all.
This is where GTM Right comes in. Its purpose is to help a founder investigate the commercial reality behind the proposition. Someone who recognises an untested buyer assumption or a missing evidence link can begin with a free Stage 1 assessment and, if appropriate, continue to a deeper commercial-readiness process and a Commercial Readiness Pack.
That journey exists to help you make consequential choices (building, pricing, launching, seeking funding or changing direction) with a clearer view of what the market has shown.
From your strongest claim to what customers have demonstrated
These decks are history. The question they leave behind is about your next decision.
Across them, the absence of clarity was often more revealing than the absence of any customer. There were signs of demand, figures, partnerships and projections. The unanswered questions were about what those meant: Who paid? How much did the company keep? Did they come back? How will the next customers arrive?
You can see your own customer records in a way no one can see these decks, so you can start answering those questions today. You do not need the perfect presentation first. Sometimes the next step is building. Sometimes it is selling. Sometimes it is getting closer to the buyer before spending another month on the product. Sometimes it is changing a claim, a price, a segment or the entire proposition.
The most useful question a pitch can lead you to is not “Does this sound investable?” It is this: What would it take to turn your strongest pitch claim into something customers have actually demonstrated?
Which claim would you least like a customer to test? That is the one to take further. Each pass leaves you with something more solid to build on, and a clearer decision about what to do next.
Evidence definitions: six distinctions this report keeps
What the record shows
What that does not establish
Publicly disclosed deck evidence. What the accessible public copy of a deck shows.
Privately held evidence. Public decks may be shortened, updated, rewritten, redacted or different from what was shared privately. A missing revenue or retention figure is a statement about public disclosure, not proof that the company had no such information.
Revenue. A figure the deck explicitly labels as the company's own revenue.
Other money figures. Transaction volume, contract or pilot value, gross profit, annualised or projected amounts and unlabelled figures are not silently counted as revenue.
A customer acquisition claim. A channel or route the deck names.
Observed acquisition. A concrete mechanism, measured sales cycle or tested conversion process that shows how the next sale would happen.
A retention mention. Retention, repeat use or lifetime value is referred to.
Observed retention. A measured retention or repeat rate. Lifetime-value estimates and mentions without a figure are not observed retention.
A verified company outcome. A later event supported by adequate independent evidence.
An unknown or inferred outcome. Public records of later company status are incomplete. A lack of trace is not a confirmed closure.
A historical association. Two things appeared together in one sample.
Causation. The counts are patterns, not causes. The study cannot show that a deck, or the activity behind it, caused a company to raise money, to continue or to reach any later result.
How the research was done
Scope. This publication reports on 201 public startup decks, analysed in two separate cohorts that are never pooled into one rate: 113 funded-library decks and 88 founder-posted decks. The broader evidence register holds 256 entries representing 255 distinct ventures. It also contains excluded records, pilot decks and 10 selected historical cases, none of which enter a rate.
Study type. Retrospective content analysis of historical public presentations, paired with exploratory public-source company tracing. Not a prospective trial, an investor-decision experiment or a representative census of all startups.
Data capture. First source library captured 5 November 2026; second source collection captured 6 November 2026. Individual library years are not necessarily the dates of the original founder-created slides. For example, the New Era ADR slide dates itself to 2021 despite a 2022 library label, and the mcSquares redraw refers to July 2021 despite a 2020 library label.
Frame and draw. First source: 1,612 listing entries; 778 early-stage labels; 726 year-eligible, carrying years between 2012 and 2023; 121 sampled by recorded stratified draw using the fixed seed 20261105. Three selections (RAPT.FM, We Are Onyx and Well Track) could not be read and were not replaced, although the stated protocol allowed same-year replacement. Five of the 118 readable presentations were excluded as not the relevant kind of investor pitch, including Tinder's 2012 internal concept presentation, leaving 113 analysed. The original draw script was not retained; a reconstruction using the recorded seed reportedly reproduced the recorded positions. Two source aliases, Credit Stacks/Jasper and Well Track/WellTrack, appeared twice in the 726-entry frame, which may have affected sampling probabilities. The original draw has been retained.
Second source. 983 distinct-source entries after overlap filtering against the first library; 412 dated 2012–2019; 125 drawn, of which 30 formed a pilot, kept apart and never counted in the 88, and 95 a planned test; seven test entries excluded as not eligible investor decks; 88 analysed.
Selected cases. Historical illustration only, intentionally chosen, excluded from all headline sample percentages. Their deck content is not evidence that a later adverse company event occurred.
What counted. Each deck was given the highest level visible in its published slides: A, a stated monetary figure; B, a customer or revenue signal without a usable monetary figure; C, users, downloads, usage or engagement without customer or revenue evidence; D, pilots, waitlists, planned trials, pipeline or other commitments; E, no customer evidence in the public deck. The table above sets out how money figures, retention and acquisition routes were then separated.
Figures as presented. Figures were transcribed from public slides and classified according to rules. They are presentation disclosures rather than company accounts.
Research method. AI-assisted methods were used to read and classify the publicly available presentations. The classifications were not independently second-coded. The research reports what published deck material disclosed, with source references and definitions provided.
How far these findings go
Investor decisions stay private. Funded-library decks were not balanced with a systematic sample of rejected rounds, so the research cannot say why an investor invested or declined.
Historical decks. Most date from 2012–2023. They illustrate enduring commercial-evidence distinctions, and they are not a survey of what investors ask for today.
Later company status. The study looked for dated public evidence of continuing operation or acquisition. Public outcome information is uneven: a parked domain, missing website, dissolved subsidiary or retired product may not represent the status of an entire venture, and “acquired” says nothing by itself about investor returns. These records were incomplete, so no comparison of later company outcomes is reported.
Known limits. Single-library dependence, selection bias toward published/funded decks, redacted public copies, time-period differences, duplicated company aliases in the frame, three unreplaced unreadable selections, ambiguous deck years, nonrandom selected cases, incomplete visibility of private diligence and imperfect public tracing of subsequent ventures.
Public dataset policy. Unchecked third-party library funding amounts are not appropriate as a public research field without separate verification. Internal original records are preserved to make corrections traceable. Where a closure, failure or acquisition could not be substantiated sufficiently for publication, this report leaves it out.
The following are the source pages or source hosts carried in the research material. Slide references throughout refer to the publicly available deck as read by the research. These links point to the sources as recorded, and some pages may since have changed, been redrawn or stopped working.
Deck rights stay with their owners. The report cites deck pages and slide references and reproduces no deck images. A public URL is not permission to republish images or entire presentations.
This index reproduces the 256 entries in the research inventory: 121 funded-library decks, 125 founder-posted decks and 10 selected historical cases. These are 256 entries, not 256 distinct ventures; Dimension and Trash Warrior refer to one company, giving 255 distinct ventures across the inventory. The analysed quantitative samples are smaller (113 funded decks and 88 founder-posted decks).
Each link points to the public source page recorded in the research material; it may be a deck-library page rather than a direct PDF or hosted slide file. Links are historical research references. As of 8 November 2026, two recorded source pages no longer load; they appear below as text rather than links. Three sampled decks (RAPT.FM, We Are Onyx and Well Track) were reported unreadable. Fourteen funded-library entries carry a note on their format, such as a teaser, an overview document or a deck that appears later than seed stage. Thirteen of those remain in the 113; the fourteenth, an internal concept deck, was excluded.
The list is not a ranking, endorsement or company-failure directory, and it carries no company-status data.
Showing 25 of 256 entries.
Company
Year as listed
Role in the study
Public source
Funded-deck library: 121 entries
AgoraFile name says Series B; round and year uncertain.
GTM Right (2026). Your Seed Deck: The Business. The Market. The Investor. What 201 public startup decks reveal about money, returning customers and the next sale. https://www.gtmright.com/research/what-seed-decks-prove
When quoting a finding, start with the group and the measure, and keep both numbers.